No of Outs - Odds of Hitting in Texas Hold'em
It is important to know what the "Pot Odds" are when deciding whether
to "hold em" or "fold em" (thanks to Kenny Rodgers).
Number of Outs |
Odds |
Example Hand |
1 |
4.3% |
|
2 |
8.4% |
|
3 |
12.5% |
|
4 |
16.5% |
4 to inside straight |
5 |
20.4% |
|
6 |
24.1% |
|
7 |
27.8% |
|
8 |
31.5% |
4 to outside straight |
9 |
35.0% |
4 to a flush |
10 |
38.4% |
|
11 |
41.7% |
|
12 |
45.0% |
4 to inside straight flush |
13 |
48.1% |
|
14 |
51.2% |
|
15 |
54.1% |
4 to straight flush |
16 |
57.0% |
|
17 |
59.8% |
|
18 |
62.4% |
|
Odds of Hitting on Either the Turn or the River
At this point you have seen 5 cards: Your 2 cards and the 3 flop cards.
E.g. with 1 Out
Odds of Hitting = 1 - [ ((Unseen Cards - Outs) / UnseenCards) *
((Unseen Cards - Outs) / Unseen Cards)]
=
1 - [ (( 47 - 1 ) / 47 ) * ( ( 46 - 1 )
/ 46 )]
=
4.3%
Odds of Hitting on the River
Number of Outs |
Odds |
Example Hand |
1 |
2.2% |
|
2 |
4.3% |
|
3 |
6.5% |
|
4 |
8.7% |
4 to inside straight |
5 |
10.9% |
|
6 |
13.0% |
|
7 |
15.2% |
|
8 |
17.4% |
4 to outside straight |
9 |
19.6% |
4 to a flush |
10 |
21.7% |
|
11 |
23.9% |
|
12 |
26.1% |
4 to inside straight flush |
13 |
28.3% |
|
14 |
30.4% |
|
15 |
32.6% |
4 to straight flush |
16 |
34.8% |
|
17 |
|
|
18 |
39.1% |
|
At this point you have seen 6 cards: Your 2 cards, 3 flop cards and the turn card
E.g. with 1 Out
Odds = No of Outs / No of Unseen Cards
E.g. =
1 out / 46 unseen cards
=
2.2%
|
